Transmisi Harga Beras Tingkat Penggilingan dan Pedagang Grosir di Indonesia 2015-2024

Elang Trias Pandegirot, Gilang Wirakusuma, S.P., M.Sc

2025 | Skripsi | SOS.EK. PERTANIAN (AGROBISNIS)

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk: (1) mengetahui tren harga beras di tingkat penggilingan dan pedagang grosir di Indonesia, serta (2) menganalisis transmisi harga beras di tingkat penggilingan dan pedagang grosir di pasar domestik Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis deskriptif dengan pendekatan kuantitatif. Penentuan sampel menggunakan teknik purposive sampling dengan jumlah sampel sebanyak 120 observasi. Tren harga dianalisis menggunakan metode regresi linier sementara transmsisi harga dianalisis menggunakan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa (1) terdapat tren harga positif atau peningkatan harga secara keseluruhan pada harga beras di tingkat penggilingan dan pedagang grosir di Indonesia (2) terdapat transmisi harga berupa hubungan jangka pendek dan jangka panjang antara harga beras di tingkat penggilingan dan pedagang grosir.

This research aims to: (1) determine rice price tren in mill and wholesaler level in Indonesia, (2) and to analyze rice price transmission between mill and wholesaler level in Indonesia, This research uses descriptive analysis method with quantitative approaches. The research location was determined by purposive sampling in Indonesia. The research sample was determined using purposive sampling technique with a total sample size of 120 observation of monthly rice price from Januari 2015 to Dcember 2024. Linear regression method is used to analyze rice price tren while the rice price transmission is with Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) The results showed that (1) there is a positive tren or an overall rising rice price both in mill and wholesaler level, (2) there is a price transmission in the form of short and long-term relationship between rice price in mill and wholesaler lev

Kata Kunci : rice, price trend, price transmission, linear regression, VECM.