Analisis Inflasi Kelompok Bahan Makanan Di Kota Banjarmasin, 2001:1-2015:4

HADRIAN NOOR, Dr. Soeratno, M.Ec.

2015 | Tesis | S2 Ekonomika Pembangunan

INTISARI Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui hubungan harga premium, solar, gas LPG, tarif dasar listrik (TDL), pupuk urea, PDRB (Produk Domestik Regional Bruto) pertanian dan PDRB pertanian tanaman bahan makanan dengan inflasi kelompok bahan makanan di Kota Banjarmasin, (2001:1-2013:4). Selanjutnya bagaimana trend dari harga premium, solar, gas LPG, tarif dasar listrik, pupuk urea, PDRB pertanian dan PDRB pertanian tanaman bahan makanan dan inflasi kelompok bahan makanan digunakan data sekunder tentang harga premium, solar, gas LPG dan Tarif Dasar Listrik (TDL), pupuk urea, PDRB pertanian, PDRB pertanian tanaman bahan makanan maupun tingkat inflasi berdasarkan data BPS (Biro Pusat Statistik) Kota Banjarmasin. Selanjutnya dianalisis menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan pendekatan analisis Trend dan Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Hasil analisis korelasi Pearson Product Moment (r) menunjukkan tidak ada korelasi antara kelompok bahan makanan dengan harga bahan bakar minyak (premium, solar), gas LPG, Tarif Dasar Listrik (TDL), pupuk urea, PDRB pertanian dan PDRB pertanian tanaman bahan makanan. Untuk melihat korelasi antar variabel digunakan uji korelasi Pearson Product Moment (r). Hasil analisis trend menunjukkan bahwa inflasi kelompok bahan makanan Kota Banjarmasin kenaikannya tidak signifikan yaitu sebesar 0.099 %, sedangkan trend dari harga premium, harga solar, harga gas LPG, Tarif Dasar Listrik (TDL), pupuk urea, PDRB pertanian dan PDRB pertanian tanaman bahan makanan mengalami kenaikan dari tahun ke tahun dan mempunyai trend yang positif dan signifikan.

ABSTRACT The purpose of this research is to know correlation between premium price, diesel fuel, Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG), basic electricity tariff, urea fertilizer, Gross Domestic Regional Products (GDRP) of agriculture and GDRP of food crops agriculture with inflation of food crops group in Banjarmasin City (2001: 1-2013:4). Then how trend of premium price, diesel fuel, LPG, basic electricity tariff, urea fertilizer, GDRP of agriculture and GDRP of food crops agriculture and inflation of food crops group used secondary data about premium price, diesel fuel, LPG and basic electricity tariff, urea fertilizer, GDRP of agriculture, GDRP of food crops grouped agriculture and inflation rate based on BPS (Central Bureau of Statistics/CBS) of Banjarmasin city. Then analyzed with uses quantitative method with Trend analysis approach and Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Analysis results of correlation Pearson Product Moment (r) showed that its no correlation between food crops group with the price of oil fuels (premium, solar), LPG, basic electricity tariff, urea fertilizer, GDRP of agriculture and GDRP of food crops agriculture.To know correlation between variables used test correlation pearson product moment (r) test. Trend Analysis results shows that inflation of food crops group in Banjarmasin city, its increases no significant by 0.099 %, meanwhile trend of premium price, diesel fuel price, LPG price, basic electricity tariff, urea fertilizer, GDRP of agriculture and GDRP of food crops group agriculture increases from year to year and trends positive and significant.

Kata Kunci : KeKata kunci: Inflasi, Kelompok Bahan Makanan dan Bahan Bakar Minyak (BBM)/keywords : Inflation, Food Crops Group and Oil Fuels