Analisis dampak kebijakan harga dasar pada harga produsen, harga konsumen dan luas tanam tebu di Propinsi Jawa Tengah

AWALUDIN, Anjar, Prof. Dr. Ir. Masyhuri

2010 | Tesis | S2 Magister Manajemen Agribisnis

Penelitian bertujuan untuk mereview perkembangan kebijakan harga dasar tebu giling, menganalisis dampak harga dasar tebu giling terhadap harga produsen tebu giling dan harga gula di tingkat konsumen, menganalisis dampak harga dasar tebu giling dan harga produsen tebu giling terhadap luas areal tebu dan menganalisis stabilitas harga produsen tebu giling dan harga gula di tingkat konsumen Jawa tengah. Analisis ini menggunakan data deret waktu (time series) 1990-2007. Di analisis mengunakan SPSS 15. Hasil analisis menunukkan bahwa harga produsen tebu giling sangat dipengaruhi oleh harga dasar tebu giling, maka hal ini berarti bahwa harga gula di tingkat konsumen Jawa Tengah secara tidak langsung juga sangat dipengaruhi oleh harga dasar tebu giling. Harga produsen tebu giling mempunyai pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap luas areal padi nasional dengan elastisitas 3,43. Hal ini menunjukkan bahwa harga jual aktual yang diterima petani memberikan pengaruh lebih kuat dibanding harga dasar tebu giling, namun harga dasar tebu giling mempunyai peranan penting dalam meningkatkan harga produsen tebu giling. Selama periode 1990-2007 kebijakan stabilisasi harga dalam negeri, baik harga tebu giling di tingkat produsen maupun harga gula di tingkat konsumen, dapat dikatakan kurang berhasil, yang ditandai oleh lebih besarnya koefisien variasi harga produsen dan harga konsumen dibanding harga gula di luar negeri (Bangkok) dalam satuan rupiah.

This research is purposed to reviewing the development of grind sugar cane base price policy, analyzing the impact of grind sugar cane base price toward the grind sugar cane producer price and sugar price at consumer level, analyzing the impact of grind sugar cane base price and sugar cane producer price toward the sugar cane areal wide and analyzing the grind sugar cane producer price stability and sugar price at Central Java consumer level. This analysis was using time series data 1990 – 2007. This analysis was using SPSS 15. The analysis result was presenting that the grind sugar cane producer price were influenced by grind sugar cane base price, so this is meaning that the sugar price at Central Java consumer level was indirectly also influenced by grind sugar cane base price. The grind sugar cane producer price has a positive influence and significant toward the areal wide of national plant with elasticity 3,43. This is presenting that the actual sell price that accepted by the farmers was giving stronger influence than grind sugar cane base price, but the grind sugar cane base price has an important role in increasing the grind sugar cane producer price. During 1990 – 2007 period, the domestic price stability policy, both of the grind sugar cane at producer level and sugar price at consumer level can be said unsuccessful, this is pointed by greater variation coefficient of producer level and consumer price compared with sugar price at overseas (Bangkok).

Kata Kunci : Harga dasar tebu giling,Harga produsen tebu giling,Harga konsumen,Kebijakan stabilitas ; grind sugar cane base price, grind sugar cane producer price, consumer price and stability policy.