PENGARUH NII SHARE TERHADAP PROFITABILITAS BANK PEMBANGUNAN DAERAH DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2020–2024
Adinaufal Maulanafi, Mamduh M. Hanafi, Prof. Dr., M.B.A.
2026 | Tesis | S2 MANAJEMEN (MM) JAKARTA
Regional Development Banks (BPD) in Indonesia face significant strategic pressure to diversify their revenue structures toward non-interest income amid accelerating digital transformation. This study aims to empirically examine and test the effect of Non-Interest Income Share (NII Share) on bank profitability proxied by Return on Assets (ROA) and Return on Equity (ROE). This study uses a static panel data approach covering the entire BPD population (27 institutions) with quarterly frequency over the 2020–2024 period, yielding 513 effective observations after applying the one-period lag instrument (lag-1). The analysis is conducted through sample sub-group segmentation based on capital capacity, namely Capital-Based Bank Group (KBMI) 1 and the combined KBMI 2 and 3, controlling for internal bank characteristics including bank size (SIZE), Equity-to-Assets Ratio (EA), Current Account and Saving Account Ratio (CASA), Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR), Credit Cost/Loans (CC), and Operating Expenses to Assets (OPEX).
Regression estimation results with White Period Standard Errors correction indicate that the primary variable NII Share exerts no statistically significant effect on either ROA or ROE across all capital groups (KBMI 1 and KBMI 2&3). The profitability of small-capital BPDs (KBMI 1) is predominantly and significantly suppressed by the OPEX Ratio, providing empirical evidence of the digitalization trap phenomenon, whereby the high fixed-cost burden of information technology investment has not been offset by the volume of regional financial service transactions. In contrast, the profitability of medium-to-large-capital BPDs (KBMI 2&3) is sensitive to organizational scale inefficiency (SIZE), capitalization level (Equity-to-Assets), and credit quality risk (Cost of Credit). In conclusion, the non-interest income diversification strategy in the BPD industry has yet to emerge as the primary profit driver and remains in a complementary position. In the short term, KBMI 1 BPDs stand to benefit more from strict operational cost discipline, while KBMI 2&3 BPDs benefit more from sharper credit risk mitigation.
Kata Kunci : Bank Pembangunan Daerah (BPD), Non-Interest Income Share, Profitabilitas, Return on Assets (ROA), Return on Equity (ROE)