Regional Inclusive Growth: Does Endogenous Institutionals and Prioritized Mapping Matter?

GEDE ANDIKA, Prof. Lincolin Arsyad, M.Sc., Ph.D.

2023 | Tesis | MAGISTER SAINS ILMU EKONOMI

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui sektor dan wilayah yang harus diprioritaskan dalam pembangunan di Bali serta menganalisis pengaruh variable ekonomi dan non ekonomi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi inklusif di Bali. Data yang digunakan adalah data panel dari tahun 2010-2022 semua kabupaten/kota di Bali. Teknik analisis data untuk pemetaan sektor dan wilayah adalah Multi-View Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering (MVHAC) dan pertumbuhan ekonomi inklusif dianalisis dengan system GMM (Generalized Method of Moments). Hasil analisis analisis Location Quotient dan Dyanmic Location Quotient menunjukkan bahwa daerah SARBAGITA (Denpasar, Badung, Gianyar, dan Tabanan) memiliki potensi pada sektor sekunder dan tersier, sedangkan wilayah lainnya sektor primer. Analisis MVHAC menunjukkan pada kuadran 1 (cluster 1) yaitu Badung dan Denpasar, sektor yang dapat dikembangkan adalah agriculture, forestry and fisheries; real estate; manufacturing industry; water supply, waste management and waste recycling dan mining and excavation, wilayah kuadran 3 (kluster 2) Tabanan dan Gianyar hamper mirip dengan Badung dan Tabanan, namun sektor yang potensial juga adalah transportation and warehousing, sedangkan kuadran 4 (kluster 2) lebih pada sektor information and communication; real estate; education service; health service and social activities. Analisis system GMM menunjukkan bahwa Desa Adat, Lembaga Perkreditan Desa, Human Capital Index, and Economic Growth berpengaruh signifikan, sedangkan foreign direct investment, per capita income, and corruption reported, and gender development index tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi inklusif di Bali.

This study aims to determine which sectors and areas should be prioritized in development in Bali and to analyze the influence of economic and non-economic variables on inclusive economic growth in Bali. The data used is panel data from 2010-2022 for all districts/cities in Bali. The data analysis technique for mapping sectors and regions is Multi-View Hierarchical Agglomerative Clustering (MVHAC) and inclusive economic growth is analyzed using the GMM (Generalized Method of Moments) system. The results of the analysis of Location Quotient and Dyanmic Location Quotient show that the SARBAGITA area (Denpasar, Badung, Gianyar, and Tabanan) has potential in the secondary and tertiary sectors, while other areas are in the primary sector. MVHAC analysis shows that in quadrant 1 (cluster 1), namely Badung and Denpasar, the sectors that can be developed are agriculture, forestry and fisheries; real estate; manufacturing industry; water supply, waste management and waste recycling and mining and excavation, the area of quadrant 3 (cluster 2) of Tabanan and Gianyar is almost similar to Badung and Tabanan, but the potential sector is also transportation and warehousing, while quadrant 4 (cluster 2) is more on the information and communication; real estate; educational services; health services and social activities. Analysis of the GMM system shows that Adat Village Institution, Village Credit Institutions, Human Capital Index, and Economic Growth have a significant effect, while foreign direct investment, per capita income, and corruption reported, and gender development index have no significant effect on inclusive economic growth in Bali.

Kata Kunci : prioritized area, potential sector, inclusive growth