PENGGUNAAN MOVING AVERAGE UNTUK MENGETAHUI TREND DAN KEPUTUSAN JUAL ATAU BELI SAHAM KLBF

NAURA NADHIFA, Dra. Sufitri

2018 | Tugas Akhir | D3 MANAJEMEN

Penulisan ini bertujuan untuk menguji apakah penggunaan Moving Average konsisten terhadap saham KLBF untuk mengetahui trend dan keputusan jual atau beli saham periode Januari 2017 sampai Desember 2017. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa pola pergerakan harga saham KLBF selama satu tahun naik (uptrend) dengan harga tertinggi Rp1.780 dan harga terendah Rp1.445. Pada triwulan pertama dan kedua pergerakan harga saham KLBF cenderung datar, sehingga trend cenderung mendatar (sideways). Pada triwulan ketiga pergerakan harga saham cenderung naik, sehingga trend cenderung naik (uptrend). Triwulan keempat pergerakan harga saham cenderung datar, sehingga trend cenderung mendatar (sideways). Pada bulan Januari 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan jual saham KLBF. Pada bulan Maret 2017 sampai April 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan beli saham KLBF. Pada bulan Mei 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan jual saham KLBF. Pada bulan Juni 2017 dan Juli 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan beli saham KLBF. Pada bulan Agustus 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan jual dan beli saham KLBF. Pada bulan September 2017 sampai Oktober 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan jual saham KLBF. Pada bulan November 2017 sampai Desember 2017, Moving Average konsisten untuk keputusan beli saham KLBF.

The study aims at evaluating the consistency of Moving Average toward KLBF stock to ascertain trend and decision to buy or sell stock during January 2017 to December 2017 period. The result of evaluation shows that klbf stock rate moving pattern during one year tends to uptrend with the maximum stock rate is Rp1.780 and the minimum stock rate is Rp1.445. In the first and second quarterly, the data shows that the rate moving tends to be flat, therefore the trend tends to be sideways. In the third quartely, the data shows that the rate moving tends to rise, therefore the trend tends to uptrend. In the forth quartely the data shows that the rate moving tends to flat, therefore the trend tends to sideways. On January 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to sell KLBF stock. From February 2017 to April 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to buy KLBF stock. On May 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to sell KLBF stock. On June 2017 and July 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to buy KLBF stock. On August 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to buy and sell KLBF stock. On September 2017 and October 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to sell KLBF stock. On November 2017 and December 2017, the Moving Average is consistent in the decision to buy KLBF stock.

Kata Kunci : Moving Average, KLBF, Stock