Perilaku Laba (Tahunan) Perusahaan di Bursa EFEK Jakarta
QIZAM IBNU (Pembimbing: Drs. Jogiyanto HM., MBA.), Drs. Jogiyanto HM., MBA.
ABSTRACT
This study is intended to provide initial evidence of the randomness of the time-series behaviors of earnings of the companies in JSX. It, specifically, aims at examining the problems about: first, whether or not the time-series behaviors of annual earnings are random (following random walk model), second, whether or not Box-Jenkins models (ARIMA) are relevant to describing the time-series behaviors of annual earnings, and third, whether or not the parameters estimated in the ARIMA models are the same as one would expect for a random walk model The result of this research shows that the time-series behaviors of annual earnings are random (following random walk models) and can be relevantly and significantly modelled by Box-Jenkins models. This is indicated from the significant parameters of ARIMA models: either autoregressive, moving-average, or both of them. The parameters of those models identified, however, are just the same as one would expect for a random walk model.
Kata Kunci : KKonsep Laba dan Proses penghasil laba, Konsep Prilaku, Konsep Time- Series Forcasting
